Supply levels improving for higher-priced homes

The October real estate statistics have been released by CREB® saying, sales gains for homes priced above $600,000 offset declines at the lower end of the market, resulting in October sales that were similar to last year. The 2,174 sales in October increased over September and stood 24 per cent above long-term trends for the month.

“Housing demand has stayed relatively strong in our market as we move into the fourth quarter, with October sales rising over last month,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB^®. “However, activity would likely have been stronger if more supply choices existed for lower-priced homes. Supply levels in our market are improving relative to the ultra-low levels experienced last year, but much of the gains have been driven by higher-priced units for each property type. This results in conditions far more balanced in the upper end of the market versus the seller’s market conditions in the lower to mid-price ranges of each property type.”

The gains in new listings relative to sales over the past six months have supported inventory gains in the city. As of October, 4,966 units were available, a significant improvement over the near-record low of 3,205 units reported last October. While inventories are starting to reach levels more consistent with long-term trends, the inventory composition has changed as nearly half of all the residential inventory is now priced above $600,000.

Adjustments in supply are helping move the market away from the tight market conditions experienced in the spring. However, conditions remain relatively tight, with 2.3 months of supply and a 67 per cent sales-to-new listings ratio, and the months of supply does vary significantly by price range and property type. For example, detached homes priced below $700,000 are reporting less than two months of supply, while homes priced over $1,000,000 are reporting over three months of supply. This is likely resulting in different price pressures depending on price range and property type.

Overall, the total residential benchmark price was $592,500 in October, over four per cent higher than last October and on a year-to-date basis, averaging over eight per cent higher than last year’s levels. The unadjusted benchmark prices did ease slightly over last month due to seasonal factors, as seasonally adjusted prices remained relatively stable in October compared to September.

Airdrie

While both sales and new listings improved over the levels reported last October, the monthly pullback in new listings was enough to cause the sales-to-new-listings ratio to rise over last month, reaching 67 per cent. While this slowed the growth in monthly inventory levels, the 365 units in inventory is a significant gain over the exceptionally low levels of 213 reported last year at this time. Following three consecutive years of low inventory levels, recent gains are helping shift the market toward more balanced conditions.

A shift away from the extreme sellers’ market has reduced the pressure on home prices. The unadjusted benchmark price was down over last month in October, but it was still five per cent higher than last October. Some of the monthly decline is related to seasonal factors, as seasonally adjusted data indicates prices remained relatively stable over the past four months.

Sales this month improved over last year, keeping above long-term trends for the town. At the same time, new listings also improved, reporting the highest October total on record. Recent gains in new listings relative to sales have helped support some steady gains in inventory levels. However, with 178 units available in October, inventories are still below long-term trends, keeping the months of supply relatively low at 2.3 months.

While conditions are not as tight as in the spring, the shift is slowing the pace of price growth. The unadjusted benchmark price in October was slightly lower than last month but still six per cent higher than last year’s levels. Overall year-to-date average benchmark prices are over nine per cent higher than last year’s levels.

Sales in October improved over last year’s levels as recent gains in new listings provided choices for many buyers struggling with supply options. While the sales gain relative to new listings prevented further monthly gains in inventory levels, the 103 units available in October significantly improved over the near-record low of 66 units reported last October.

With less than two months of supply, conditions continue to favour the seller. The persistent seller market conditions have driven price growth in this market throughout most of the year. While unadjusted prices did ease slightly over last month in October, levels are still over six per cent higher than last October and over eight per cent higher on a year-to-date basis.

Read the full release here www.creb.com/News/Media_Releases/2024/November/Supply_levels_improving_for_higher-priced_homes/ and connect with me for more about the real estate market in and around Calgary. Join me on Facebook and Google for the latest in real estate news!