New listing growth driven by higher-priced homes

CREB® released the September real estate stats with the headline being that new listing growth was driven by higher-priced homes. Rising sales in the upper price ranges were not enough to offset the pullback occurring in the lower price ranges, as sales in September were 2,003, 17 per cent below last year’s record high. Despite the decline, sales this month were still over 16 per cent higher than levels traditionally achieved in September.

“We are starting to see a rise in new listings in our market. However, most of the listing growth is occurring in the higher price ranges,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB^®. “While demand has stayed strong across all price ranges, the limited choice for lower-priced homes has likely prevented stronger sales in our market. While the challenges in the lower price ranges are not expected to change, improved supply combined with lower lending rates should keep demand strong throughout the fall, but without the extreme seller market conditions that contributed to the rapid price growth earlier this year.”

New listings in September rose to 3,687 units, the highest September total since 2008. This rise in new listings compared to sales did support some inventory growth. September inventory levels pushed up to 5,064 units, nearly double the exceptionally low levels reported in the spring, but remain below the 6,000 units we typically see in September.

Improving inventory levels compared to sales is continuing to shift our market toward more balanced conditions. In September, the months of supply reached 2.5 months. While this is a gain over last year’s record low, conditions are still tilted in favour of the seller.

Additional supply in the market has taken some of the pressure off home prices over the past few months, following stronger-than-expected gains throughout the spring. In September, the unadjusted benchmark price was $596,900, slightly lower than last month but over five per cent higher than last year’s levels. Year-over-year gains ranged from nearly nine per cent growth for detached homes to nearly 14 per cent gains in the apartment condominium market. The gains for each property type outpaced the growth in total residential prices, mostly due to the shifting composition of sales.

Airdrie

Thanks to a boost in new listings relative to sales, inventory levels trended up in September, reaching 349 units, an improvement over the persistently low levels reported over the previous three years. With 151 sales in September, the months of supply rose to 2.3 months. While conditions still favour the seller, it is a significant improvement over the under two months of supply that has persisted since the start of 2021.

Improved supply choice has taken some of the pressure off home prices. However, with an unadjusted benchmark price of $551,000 in September, prices are nearly seven per cent higher than last year.

Over the past few months, easing sales did not offset earlier gains, as year-to-date sales were nearly six per cent higher than last year. However, like other areas, new listings in Cochrane have been on the rise, and the 50 per cent sales-to-new listings ratio this month helped support a gain in inventory levels. With 174 units in inventory and 58 sales, the months of supply in September rose to three months, the first time it has reached three months since the end of 2020.

While supply levels are improving, they remain well below long-term trends. Nonetheless, the gain prevented any further upward pressure on home prices this month. In September, the unadjusted benchmark price was $578,300, similar to last month but nearly nine per cent higher than last year.

A boost in new listings compared to sales supported inventory gains. While inventory levels have trended up over the past three months, the 106 units still represent exceptionally low levels for the town.

The months of supply reached two months in September, something we have not seen consistently since early 2021. While this is a significant improvement from levels seen in the spring, conditions still favour the seller. The unadjusted benchmark price in September reached $630,300, nearly one per cent higher than last month and nine per cent higher than levels reported last year.

Read the full release here www.creb.com/News/Media_Releases/2024/October/New_listing_growth_driven_by_higher-priced_homes/ and connect with me for more about the real estate market in and around Calgary. Join me on Facebook and Google for the latest in real estate news!